China’s population is shrinking and its economy is losing ground

The “peak China” narrative is proving difficult to shift


“HOW SHOULDGDP one look at the Chinese economy?”, asked Li Qiang, the country’s prime minister, at the World Economic Forum in Davos on January 16th. “It is similar to looking at the Alps,” he suggested, an “undulating mountain range” that is best appreciated from afar. Official figures released the next day revealed two notable undulations in China’s economic landscape. The country’s in 2023 for the second year running. And its shrank in dollar terms.In his previous job as Communist party chief of Shanghai, Mr Li oversaw a to quell an outbreak of covid-19. After China abandoned such measures at the end of 2022, many people , although doctors were pressed to attribute their deaths to other causes. One academic model, drawing on Hong Kong’s experience, suggested the national death toll might have been as high as 1.4m between December 2022 and February 2023. ’s modelling estimated that the virus would claim about 1.5m lives if left to spread unencumbered.

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